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Writer's pictureRoyce Advisory

China's Economic Stimulus

In a significant move to bolster its flagging economy, China has unveiled a comprehensive package of stimulus measures.


Below we summarise the key points:


🔸 Monetary Easing: The People's Bank of China (PBoC) has cut the 7-day reverse repo rate by 20 basis points to 1.5% and reduced the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for major banks by 50 basis points to 9.5%.


🔸Property Support: Interest rates on outstanding mortgages will be lowered by an average of 50 basis points, potentially benefiting about 50 million households.


🔸Stock Market Support: A CNY500 billion swap facility and a CNY300 billion relending facility have been introduced to support equity markets.


🔸Economic Context: These measures come as China struggles to meet its "around 5%" GDP growth target for 2024.


Portential Implications for Australian Investors:


🔹 Currency Effects: The narrowing interest rate differential between the US and China has strengthened the CNH, which could impact Australian companies with significant exposure to Chinese markets.


🔹Commodities Outlook: As China is a major consumer of Australian commodities, any boost to its economy could potentially increase demand for resources.


🔹Property Sector Caution: Despite support measures, China's property sector remains a concern. Australian investors in real estate investment trusts (REITs) with exposure to Asian markets should monitor this closely.


🔹Equity Market Opportunities: The stimulus package has initially boosted Chinese equities. This could present opportunities for Australian investors in Asia-focused funds or ETFs.


🔹Economic Growth Prospects: While the measures are supportive, there's still uncertainty about whether China will meet its growth target. This could have broader implications for the Australian economy given our strong trade links.



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